信德海事网-专业海事信息咨询服务平台 登录 | 注册 [ 设为首页 ] [ 加入收藏 ] 中文版 ENGLISH WeChat Mobile --> --> ENGLISH   >   MARKET --> Dry Bulk Shipping Market Overview & Outlook 2026-01-30 15:34 By： BIMCO 分享： --> --> --> 评论 --> --> Dry Bulk Shipping Market Overview & Outlook   Longer sailing distances boost demand   "We estimate that the dry bulk supply/demand balance will remain stable in 2026 and weaken in 2027. An improvement in the economic and demand outlook has led us to revise our demand forecast for 2026 up by 0.5 percentage points,” says Filipe Gouveia, Shipping Analysis Manager at BIMCO.   The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised global economic growth projections for 2026 up 0.2 percentage points amid stimulus policies and strong investment in technology and AI. Consequently, the global economy is now forecast to grow 3.3% in 2026, the same as in 2025, and by 3.2% in 2027. China’s economic outlook has also improved, due to higher stimulus and to China’s trade agreement with the US, but the IMF still expects a gradual slowdown in the country’s GDP growth.   “Freight rates could remain strong in 2026, as strong market conditions carry over from 2025. However, in 2027, we expect that they could start to slip, reflecting the weaker market conditions. Overall, we expect that the capesize segment might continue to outperform the other segments, supported by low fleet growth and benefiting from growing sailing distances,” says Gouveia.   Ship demand is forecast to grow 2-3% in 2026 and 1-2% in 2027. Average sailing distances are estimated to lengthen 0.5-1.5% each year, due to an increase in iron ore and bauxite shipments from the South Atlantic to Asia. Furthermore, cargo volume growth is being driven by stronger grain and minor bulk shipments. However, a weak outlook for iron ore and coal volumes is limiting gains.   Ship supply is expected to grow 2.5% in 2026 and 3% in 2027. Fleet growth i